LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7Honey
The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come into this Saturdays match with announcement successes.
LSU defeat the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take a top-four spot in the race over .
The defense of florida leads the way in their opinion. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered as he went 11 with three INTs, into making poor decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback, and it has led LSU to the offensive launch in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. That includes the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
With the roar of all Death Valley awaitingthe Gators come in as underdogs around BetNow. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 shield keep this close? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime as well as Burrow keep rolling up and win the bet? Heres the complete breakdown.
There is very little doubt in Burrows skill . Hes transformed into a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the very best getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is a presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal that will fill the area. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the DB unit they have played with all season. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU opponents: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits in 33rd, though its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of all Burrows standard. Theyve played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on uneven so far in the other corner spot, but has a large ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will even confront a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami on the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing lineup Even though his awareness need to improve from the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is arguably the best in the nation, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is now 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and sprained a knee.
Together with the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to come up big in coverage. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most frequently considered DBU for the talent they have on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, if not longer, in 2019.
Will probably be out of all returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who allowed the least amount of first downs. It will be a force if given an opportunity against a driven Trask though this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this season, going. broke a tackle at the point on his way to an 88-yard TD run. Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning power achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is like Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky game.
It puts a lot of stress on Trask at a hostile environment Should they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going regularly.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world after a week. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this game staying closer than most.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to put up 45 or something near this against a defense who is known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will probably wear out with time, since they much too much to alter the wave in games have been relied on by the group. Marco Wilson will be the subject to a late-game PIs against the physiological Chase or Jefferson.
However, I dont expect this before late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog until afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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